(Monica Morgan / Getty Images; David Dee Delgado / Getty Images for The New York Times)

Patriot Brief

• James Carville says Jasmine Crockett makes politics about herself, not Texas voters.

• Democrats fear Crockett’s attention-seeking style hurts competitiveness statewide.

• Carville again predicts Trump’s downfall despite repeated high-profile misfires.

James Carville accidentally told the truth — and then immediately reminded everyone why no one trusts his instincts anymore. His critique of Jasmine Crockett is devastating precisely because it’s accurate. Politics isn’t about viral clips, cable hits, or social media applause. It’s about persuading voters who don’t already agree with you. Crockett excels at attention; she struggles with persuasion.

Carville’s point that Crockett represents a safely blue district while doing little to help competitive races is exactly why her Senate run looks more like a vanity project than a strategy. Even fellow Democrats seem to know it, quietly hoping James Talarico carries the banner instead.

Then Carville torpedoes his own credibility by declaring Trump “done” — the same Trump he confidently predicted would lose in 2024. History hasn’t been kind to Carville’s gut feelings, and repeating them doesn’t make them wiser.

Crockett may indeed violate the first rule of politics. Carville violates the first rule of forecasting: learn from being wrong.

From Western Journal:

Liberal political commentator James Carville believes that Rep. Jasmine Crockett has at least one fatal flaw when it comes to running successfully to be the next senator of Texas.

Crockett announced Monday that she will seek the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate and then look to flip the seat currently held by GOP Sen. John Cornyn.

To succeed, she must first defeat Democratic rising star Texas state Rep. James Talarico.

An October University of Houston-Texas Southern University poll found Crockett ahead in the race of current and potential Democratic Senate candidates with 31 percent support, followed by state Rep. James Talarico and former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke each at 25 percent, while former Congressman Colin Allred garnered 13 percent backing.

Allred announced Monday that he is dropping out of the Senate race and will seek a House seat instead.

On the Republican side this time, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is slightly ahead in the race, with 34 percent, followed by Cornyn at 33 percent and Hunt at 22 percent, with 11 percent undecided, according to the University of Houston survey.

Carville said of Crockett’s candidacy on his “Politics War Room” podcast published Wednesday, “First of all, she seems like she’s well-educated and things like that. She’s got a lot of energy. But to me, she violates the first rule of politics. And that is, in politics, we always make it about the voters and never about yourself.”

Carville noted that Republicans took credit for putting out a poll showing that Crockett had a good shot to win the Senate race, which enticed her to enter the race.

“She said she saw the polls, and she thought she had to get in. I’m just telling you, she represents a plus-24 Democratic district. I would like her a lot more if she tried to help Democrats who are in plus-three Republican districts,” he said.

“You can stay in Congress as long as you want. You can get all the hits. You can get all the clicks. You can get on all of the TV shows, but you’re not helping very much, as long as you’re polemic [i.e., using contentious political rhetoric]. You can keep getting attention, but you’re not helping very much,” Carville argued.

“What wins elections is not sitting there talking incessantly about yourself. Winning elections is not how many clicks you get or how much overnight fundraising you do. Winning elections is being part of framing issues and understanding where people are coming from. And I don’t think Congressman Crockett is very good at that. I’ll be very frank,” the former Bill Clinton campaign adviser said.

Carville’s “Warroom” podcast co-host Al Hunt contended that Talarico would be a better option for Democrats in the Senate race.

“He talks about voters more than himself, which is a big thing here,” Hunt said.

In late October 2024, Carville wrote an op-ed for The New York Times titled, “Three Reasons I’m Certain Kamala Harris Will Win.”

The first reason he offered is that Donald Trump is an election loser, pointing to the 2020 presidential race and the Democratic blue wave during the 2018 midterms.

Second, Carville said Harris had more money, and finally, he just had a gut feeling about how the race would go.

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